A new Mizani Africa opinion poll shows Said Abdalla leading the Nyali parliamentary race with 27.0 percent, followed by Nelson Alfayo at 15.5 per cent and Abdikadir Dekow at 12.2 percent.

"The results indicate a highly competitive race with no dominant candidate at this stage,” Mizani Africa said, noting that the spread of support reflects shifting voter preferences and growing competition among aspirants.

The poll further shows that 26.2 percent of voters remain undecided, a factor analysts say could significantly reshape the outcome as campaigns intensify.

According to the research firm, the large undecided vote presents a critical opportunity for targeted messaging, coalition building, and voter engagement ahead of the election.

"With more than a quarter of voters yet to make up their minds, the Nyali race remains fluid and open to change,” Mizani Africa added, pointing to the decisive role undecided voters are likely to play in determining the final result.

Meanwhile, in the Likoni parliamentary race, current tracking shows area Mp Mishi Mboko in a commanding lead with 54.9 percent  establishing a dominant position well ahead of her rivals.

Mwanahamisi Hamadi trails in distant second at 21.2 per cent, while Mohamed Mwahima has 12.7 per cent, with all other candidates jointly accounting for less than 10 per cent of voter support.

“The Likoni contest is showing clear directional momentum, with voter preference strongly concentrated around the leading candidate,” the tracking data indicates.